Case study 01 · Cross-border M&A and project finance

Pig Iron Plant Acquisition

Cajicá, Cundinamarca · Colombia

Distressed-asset acquisition out of judicial liquidation under Colombia's Ley 1116.
Role: financial structuring, valuation and the investor package · Allofit Group Corp (Broker & financial advisor) · 2019–2020

$80M
Capital structured
(CAPEX + working capital)
3
Iron ore concessions
in the asset package
11.8M
MT proven iron ore
reserves (technical study)
6.4x
Reserve-adjusted
EV / EBITDA (base case)

Executive summary

An integrated steel asset, bought for cents on its earnings power

A pig iron plant 30 km north of Bogotá, idle since 2015 and sold off in a judicial liquidation. The thesis was vertical integration: mine the iron ore and coal, make the met coke, and smelt the pig iron, all on one site.

The asset package held two blast furnaces (one running, the second built to 80%, each rated at 10,600 MT per month), 140,000 m² of land with offices, laboratories and warehouses, approved environmental licenses, and three iron ore concessions carrying 11.8 million MT of proven reserves. The plant sat inside a 150 km radius of Colombia's main pig iron buyers, in a market that imported most of its pig iron.

The Superintendencia de Sociedades had taken control and was selling the assets under Ley 1116, Colombia's insolvency statute, so the process and the asset base are public record. The capital plan was USD 80 million: USD 33 million to buy the assets, and the rest to finish the second furnace, add a sintering line, build a 5 MW thermoelectric plant, develop the mine infrastructure, and buy a coal mine and build a met coke plant sized at 300,000 MT per year. Financing was structured as senior debt held in an escrow trust, with the acquired assets pledged as the lenders' guarantee, alongside equity and a five-year forward production contract as alternatives.

I led the financial structuring, built the valuation model, and prepared the package that went to institutional and strategic investors. The team secured full access to the target's data in Colombia and worked directly with the court-appointed liquidator.

Outcome: the deal did not close. Investor conversations were underway when COVID-19 halted them in early 2020, and the platform was wound down. What follows is the valuation model, rebuilt from the project's source documents.

The model

Valuation, rebuilt and made live

Move the four levers and every figure below recalculates: the operating build, the depletion of the mine, and the valuation. Nothing to download, the whole model runs on the page.

Pig iron price$340
$300USD / MT$380
Met coke price$321
$281USD / MT$361
WACC10.75%
8%discount rate14%
Exit multiple6.0x
4.0xEV / EBITDA8.0x
Revenue · yr 2
$130M
first full run-rate year
EBITDA · yr 2
$33M
25% margin
Enterprise value · DCF
$222M
6.8x EV/EBITDA
Project IRR
30%
meets 6.0x target

What the analysis showed

Where the value actually sat

01

A coke business with a blast furnace attached

At market input prices, pig iron sold on its own barely clears break-even. The margin comes from the met coke sold to third parties. That reframed the diligence: the coal mine and coke plant were not a side investment, they were the engine.

02

Reserves cover the horizon, and then some

At a full run-rate the 11.8M MT of proven reserves support about 34 years of production. By the end of the 10-year forecast only 29% is drawn. Iron ore supply was never the binding constraint on the plan.

03

It survives the obvious objection

Swap the Gordon perpetuity for a terminal value capped at the remaining reserve life and the enterprise value still clears a 6.0x EV/EBITDA floor. The case does not depend on assuming the mine runs forever.